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[personal profile] james_davis_nicoll
Suppose it's the future and further suppose that space tourism actually takes off enough that there are excursions to the Moon akin to what we see in Antarctica. Although probably not the 37,000 people a year you see headed to Antarctica because going to the Moon is going to a crapton more expensive.

Further, suppose
it occurs to someone whose life centers on ferrying rich bastards back and forth to the Moon that the delta vee to go from Low Earth Orbit (LEO) to Low Lunar Orbit (LLO) is about 8 km/s. It's the same the other way, assuming no aerobraking at the Earth end (No aerobraking at the Earth end means big mass ratios or some kind of fuel depot in LLO). That's considerably more delta vee than it takes to to Mars from the Moon and it further occurs to them it might be fun on the next trip home to leave the tourists on the Moon and take an unsheduled excursion to Mars.



How would you go about adapting a vehicle designed to do the LEO-LLO trip to a LLO-Mars trip?

The first big issue is going to be air. Assuming a dozen passengers and three crew, and about a week to the Moon and back, the ship probably doesn't have more than 105 person-days of O2. Fast but still reasonably delta-vee conservative orbit to Mars is about 180 days.

I suppose, this being fiction, you could do it the other way: the would-be Marsnaut needs 180 person-days, therefore the LEO-LLO transfer ship carries a couple of dozen passengers and some crew. That will at least get the Marsnaut to Mars alive.

This is all a lot easier if the pilot doesn't plan on surviving long enough to return.

Date: 2012-04-02 04:29 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
Forgot to add one thing: how would you do it if you were trying not to get caught?
Edited Date: 2012-04-02 04:29 am (UTC)

Date: 2012-04-02 03:43 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
Before you commit the burn to head to Mars, I mean.

Date: 2012-04-02 04:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] derekl1963.livejournal.com
Air, food, water, all volume and weight hogging biggies. Power is an issue too, unless they're using RTG's. (Insolation at Martian orbit is half that of Earth orbit.) Thermal control is another huge issue... Actually, there's pretty much nothing that isn't an issue.

If I were going to redesign an LEO-LLO vessel into an LLO-Mars vessel, I'd start by jacking up the name plate and sliding the LEO-LLO hull out of the way so I have room for an all new vehicles. The job is roughly equivalent to refitting a 747 to dive alongside Deepsea Challenger.
Edited Date: 2012-04-02 04:40 am (UTC)

Date: 2012-04-02 04:52 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
Food and water should scale with air, right? So if they aren't going to run out of air, they shouldn't run out of food and water.

I don't see LEO-LLO ferries having RTGs, which makes me sad.

Difficulties = plot

Date: 2012-04-02 05:35 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] derekl1963.livejournal.com
How food, water, and air scale depends on your assumptions WRT recycling and packaging. On a longer mission (frex), N2 and O2 will not scale identically (even with an identical recycling setup) as you'll need additional N2 to replace losses to leakage, while an LEO-LLO craft can just scavenge from whatever it docks to.

Date: 2012-04-02 06:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nelc.livejournal.com
Do you actually need atmospheric nitrogen for anything?

Date: 2012-04-02 07:19 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] pickledginger.livejournal.com
Good point. If you gradually reduce nitrogen content and cabin pressure, you'll need a lot less of the nitrogen (so, more room for O2), and other losses ought to diminish, as well.

(EDIT: on the other hand, corrosion and fire risk would both go way up. And as atmospheric gases go, nitrogen is slow to leak -- hence its popularity for inflating car tires. Maybe it would be better to use a low-pressure nitrogen atmosphere plus personal oxygen masks?)

Replace most of your personal mass allotment for a few trips with, say, chia seeds, spices, and vitamins -- and (trickier) find some noncritical mass they can replace -- and you'll extend food stores by a surprising margin. (I suppose you might be able to leave passenger seats ... But they'd probably be in a pop-out module to begin with. Hmm.)

But that makes water more crucial, of course. A good lotion or silicone lubricant could reduce water loss thru skin, goggles could protect eyes, and a veil or scarf or surgical mask over lower face could reduce respiratory losses/stress, allowing a lower cabin humidity.

The pressurized volume probably would be capable of reduction, as well.

That sort of economizing wouldn't get you there, but it'd help.

But if you don't want to be caught -- don't go!
Edited Date: 2012-04-02 07:32 am (UTC)

Date: 2012-04-02 07:54 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nelc.livejournal.com
Aren't corrosion and combustion limited by the partial pressure of oxygen? So if you have enough oxygen to breathe, and not so much that you get oxygen toxicity, then that shouldn't effect the fire risk or probability of rust.

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Date: 2012-04-02 04:11 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com
I get the impression that most people who inflate their car tires with nitrogen do so on poorly-understood snake-oil grounds. I guess slower leakage is a real advantage, but I can get air for free at BJ's...

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Date: 2012-04-02 01:44 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] derekl1963.livejournal.com
Breathing pure O2 for significant periods causes lung damage. Not a problem for passengers, but certainly so for the crew - so your base spacecraft is almost certainly going to be dual gas.
Edited Date: 2012-04-02 01:50 pm (UTC)

Date: 2012-04-02 02:38 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nelc.livejournal.com
Have you got a link or reference for the lung damage?

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Date: 2012-04-02 06:29 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] awesomeaud.livejournal.com
"Food and water should scale with air, right? So if they aren't going to run out of air, they shouldn't run out of food and water."

If this ship is set up to ferry rich s.o.b.s back and forth to the moon, chances are a lot of that food is going to be high quality perishables. You'd have to figure out how to preserve it. If you manage that, the good news is that there is probably a lot of wastage figured into food supply, so you probably have more food than you think. And if you go on half rations, you can stretch it quite far.

As for water, rich tourists don't want to spend a week marinating in their own sweat, so there is probably a lot of water designated for washing. If you can stand your own stench....


On the other hand, there is likely to be a lot of high quality booze aboard, too. You can spend the entire journey pleasant buzzed.

Date: 2012-04-02 11:45 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] resonant.livejournal.com
You could also write a murder mystery where half the passengers suddenly die, giving the vessel enough surplus supplies to get to the new destination.

Or in a bleaker scenario, passengers would kill and freeze each other, both for extended supplies and as a future source of meat.

A murder mystery application of the Niven rule

Date: 2012-04-02 01:30 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
Which I formulated after reading "All the Bridges Rusting", in which people in a setting where the entire solar system has been explored, some of it is being actively exploited and they've had not one but two missions to Alpha Centauri bitch about how the space program is languishing: the space activity you have is always going to be much less than the space activity you can imagine having had if only everyone was fanatical devotee of space activity.

I could image some subset of astronaut being of the "we'd have million person space cities if not for Lack of Will and Public Health Care/Those People/Giant, economically productive cities like New York sucking up money* that should have gone to the space program" bent. One of those guys at the end of their career could decide to give the world Sufficient Will by murdering a couple of dozen of the world's richest and best connected people, then fleeing to Mars orbit. If they can stay alive indefinitely, the technology clearly exists for more missions to follow him to arrest him. It's Franklin meets HH Holmes...

* Extra points if the entity they blame for sucking up funding is in fact a source of funding.
Edited Date: 2012-04-02 01:41 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com
Why arrest him? He's already in prison.

I think the Niven rule is related to the fact that for some subset of the population, all cities are New York circa 1974, with some admixture of the Watts or South Central LA riots.

Re: A murder mystery application of the Niven rule

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Date: 2012-04-02 04:31 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] awesomeaud.livejournal.com
"Or in a bleaker scenario, passengers would kill and freeze each other, both for extended supplies and as a future source of meat."

I recall recently reading a book about a fellow who stowed away on a ship going from Mars to Earth. To reduce the need for extensive food supplies, the legitimate crew and passengers were in cold sleep, while the stowaway was not. He proceeded to repeatedly thawing the legitimate passengers, amputating a limb, then refreezing them until he needed food again. By the time the ship got to Earth, all passengers and crew had been consumed.

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YASID

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Date: 2012-04-03 05:00 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] hopdavid.livejournal.com
Arthur C. Clarke already did something similar. A small asteroid punctures an oxygen tank. So the two guys on their way to Venus only have enough air for one person.

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Date: 2012-04-02 09:19 am (UTC)
ext_58972: Mad! (Default)
From: [identity profile] autopope.livejournal.com
I will note that rich tourists really don't appreciate Donner Party rules. So although they probably only need the 105 person-days of O2 on the ship, they probably carry 105 person days plus enough to keep them alive until a rescue mission can be organized to bring them home in event of an oopsie in Lunar orbit.

(This assumes there's no permanent Lunar orbit supply depot to cover this contingency. Pros: having a supply depot would be cheaper. Cons: having a supply depot in orbit 50km above your head when your rocket won't go is a fat lot of use to anyone.)

Second thoughts:

If you're running Lunar Tourism Inc., surely the smart model to use would be the Soyuz recycling model used by the ISS? (As in: a Soyuz TM on orbit has a live of about 120 days, so you rotate crews every 120 days and bring the old crew home in the old Soyuz, leaving a fresh one permanently docked for use as a lifeboat.) Our Lunar tour company launches each batch of tourists to the Lunar surface in a newly refurbed/refuelled ship, but they return from the surface in the previous expedition's lander. (The first lander on the surface was sent down on autopilot, just to make sure everything worked okay.) Then, if a lander's ascent motor fails, there's a spare lander ready to ferry everyone home.

Hmm. Not sure of the full implications of this package ...
Edited Date: 2012-04-02 09:22 am (UTC)

Possible spoiler factors

Date: 2012-04-02 09:27 am (UTC)
ext_58972: Mad! (Default)
From: [identity profile] autopope.livejournal.com
Alas, it occurs to me that if there are enough medium-rich tourists to support regular Lunar expeditions, then there is definitely going to be at least one James Cameron/Jeff Bezos/Elon Musk who will pony up a cool billion in order to visit Mars.

Which suggests the motivation factor for our impromptu Mars-naut will not be "first guy on Mars".

Which in turn means that their trip to Mars might be two way, with the return leg in leg irons. Or something like that. Or that they're mentally disturbed in the first place to want to do such a thing: shades of a tour bus driver in Alaska who simply dumps his passengers at a roadside shelter 500 miles from anywhere and lights out for the magnetic north pole.

Date: 2012-04-03 01:07 am (UTC)
ext_63737: Posing at Zeusaphone concert, 2008 (Default)
From: [identity profile] beamjockey.livejournal.com
Or that they're mentally disturbed in the first place to want to do such a thing: shades of a tour bus driver in Alaska who simply dumps his passengers at a roadside shelter 500 miles from anywhere and lights out for the magnetic north pole.

I probably don't need to point out that this scenario could itself be the basis of an interesting story.

Date: 2012-04-02 12:08 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kingwalters.livejournal.com
So what subject line were you planning to use?

Date: 2012-04-02 12:30 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] theweaselking.livejournal.com
Yeah, this. Inquiring minds!

Date: 2012-04-02 01:15 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
"First, steal a chicken."

Date: 2012-04-02 05:10 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lpetrazickis.livejournal.com
"Middle of nowhere", I expect.

It's offensive to call Oshawa that should you be dumped there against your will.

Note that, while it's conceivable that Oshawa has nice parts, IIRC its train station is not located near those nice parts.

Date: 2012-04-03 04:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] hopdavid.livejournal.com
LEO to LLO isn't 8 km/s. It's about 4.

Without aerobraking, it'd take about 2 km/s to exit an earth to Mars Hohmann and park in LMO. Would they have access to propellant in LMO? If so they'd need another 2 km/s for trans earth insertion. Then they'd need another 3.6 km/s to exit Mars to earth Hohmann and park in LEO (since there's no aerobraking). So the delta V budget for their jaunt to Mars orbit would not be less than their normal trip.

A huge difference is 3 years of radiation exposure vs 3 days. A vehicle designed for trips between LEO and LLO wouldn't have adequate radiation shielding.

http://marssociety.org.au/sites/default/files/library/willson-et-al.pdf
The above calls for a 130 tonne Mars Transfer Vehicle (MTV). It also calls for two 110 tonne Trans Mars Stages for trans mars insertion. An itemized mass breakdown is given in table 5. About 16 tonnes is consumables. In Table 2 there's also 10 tonnes of consumables in the Mars hab (they need this while they wait for a launch window to earth) Food and water is a relatively small fraction the over all mass. The extra consumables is one of the more minor problems with this premise.

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