Huh

May. 20th, 2013 11:08 am
james_davis_nicoll: (Default)
[personal profile] james_davis_nicoll
This would make more sense to me if I still read Analog:


Title: The World's Simplest Fusion Reactor Revisted
Author: Tom Ligon
Year: 2008
Type: ESSAY
Series: Science Fact (Analog)
ISFDB Record Number: 854370

Title: The World's Simplest Fusion Reactor
Author: Tom Ligon
Year: 1998
Type: ESSAY
Series: Science Fact (Analog)
ISFDB Record Number: 126238

Reprint? Reexamination of the first essay?

Also posted at Dreamwidth, where there are comment count unavailable comment(s); comment here or there.

Date: 2013-05-20 03:48 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
Dur. Clearly a revisit.

Revisits are potentially an interesting idea. For example, I would pay a bright shiny penny to see Michael F. Flynn discuss the accuracy of his modeling in the first version of An Introduction to Psychohistory, Parts 1 and 2 in light of the events of the next 25 years.

Date: 2013-05-20 03:57 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nancylebov.livejournal.com
I would give a starched, ironed dollar bill for that.

Date: 2013-05-20 05:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
I wonder if there are enough SF pundits foolish enough to have set prediction to print to make up a panel.

Didn't Spinrad predict Russia would be plagued by ethnic strife in the 1980s? Yeah, The Taming of the Bear: The Coming Decline of Soviet Power (1980). I literally have no looked at it since 1980, no idea how it stood up.

Date: 2013-05-20 05:47 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] james-nicoll.livejournal.com
You know what would be hilarious to me? A panel made up of right wing types whose predictions from the 1970s or 1980s are Soviet Menace: Juggernaut of Doooooooom and a bunch of lefties whose predictions same period are Soviet Menace: Lucky to Get to 1985.

Date: 2013-05-20 06:38 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
As the leftists you mention were mostly right, I don't see the right wing showing up. Except Robert Conquest, but as he's nearing the century mark he could be forgiven for declining the invitation.

I note that the Wikipedia article on Conquest does not even mention his most important work, "Spectrum 3" with Amis (one of my first SF anthologies).

William Hyde

Date: 2013-05-20 05:25 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] carloshasanax.livejournal.com
And the corollary, whether his demonstrated expertise in modeling should affect our judgment about his other claims.

Date: 2013-05-20 05:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] chrysostom476.livejournal.com
Heinlein did this in Expanded Universe.

Date: 2013-05-20 09:30 pm (UTC)
ext_63737: Posing at Zeusaphone concert, 2008 (Erichsen WSH portrait)
From: [identity profile] beamjockey.livejournal.com
Yes; Heinlein did TWO revisits on that essay. Dave Langford wrote:
"Pandora's Box" is a great wodge of 1950 predictions with 1965 afterthoughts and 1979 third thoughts, a good read even where it's most wrong. Heinlein's non-fiction works best when he's relaxed, speaking as himself, tossing in the odd first-person pronoun, and generally sounding like one of his garrulously omniscient sages.

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