Date: 2013-04-17 01:15 am (UTC)
Sensitivity _is_ low; we can tell that because the paleoclimate record doesn't bounce all over the place, it's relatively stable.

(Which is in most respects good news; we might not already be past the point of no return for large-scale agriculture.)

We still shouldn't expect any kind of nice linear year-on-year response to forcing. We're going to get something rather lumpy.

I'm finding the models' ability to take the "warmer arctic ocean, warmer water off Labrador" and predict the band of cold air across Eurasia this winter just past pretty convincing that they're, on the whole, on to something.
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