More fodder

[james_davis_nicoll]

Nicked from the UN report, via a post of mine:

Three Earths in 2100:

                Growth Scenario

Region          Low     Medium  High

Africa          27.5%   24.9%   23.1%
Asia            52.1    55.4    57.5
Latin America
and Caribbean    7.4     8.1     8.4
North America    5.8     5.2     5.0
Europe           6.6     5.9     5.6
Oceana           0.6     0.5     0.5

Population       5.5B    9.1B   14.0B   
      

While I freely admit that migration in the past has seen small groups provide disproportionate fractions of migrants and that population models are often incorrect, this seems to me to indicate that all other considerations being equal, the pasty white with the occasional visible minority in the background model used in a lot of SF set in near future interstellar settings is likely to be wildly incorrect.

Comments

[gareth-wilson.livejournal.com]

Someone pointed out that Matrix sequels, for all their flaws, presented an SF setting where the population wasn't overwhelmingly white. Although now I think of it, white people were more common among the main characters.

[carloshasanax.livejournal.com]

Keanu can pass as white, sure.