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Not only do the modern models attribute the cooling for the 1940s-70s to aerosols, so did the work in the 1970s. One thing I have to repeatedly point out to the "they forecast an ice age in the 70s" crowd is that that minority[1] of forecasts were all based on high-aerosol emission scenarios.

[1] There was a period of a couple months where the cooling forecasts caught up to the number of warming forecasts. It ended when the third paper forecasting warming came out.

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james_davis_nicoll

James Nicoll Reviews

May 2025

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